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ATLAS / Macro Radar / Trade Balance

US Trade Balance

Growth · source: U.S. Census Bureau / BEA

Trade Balance is the gap between US exports and imports of goods and services — a driver of growth and FX.

Latest
-55.9B
Previous
-56.6B
Surprise vs trend
+0.4σ
in line with its recent 12-release trend

Trend — last releases

2026-04-01-55.9B
2026-03-01-56.6B
2026-02-01-55.0B
2026-01-01-54.2B
2025-12-01-76.1B
2025-11-01-63.9B

How Atlas reads Trade Balance

Atlas shows the real released figure and a surprise score — how far the latest print sits from its own trailing 12-release trend, in standard deviations. A reading above +0.5σ ran hot versus recent history; below −0.5σ ran cold. There is no invented forecast: where a consensus is not freely available, Atlas shows the trend instead of guessing a number. Every figure here is the real value published by the U.S. Census Bureau / BEA and distributed via FRED.

Related market impact rails

Updated 2026-06-21. Figures sourced from the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED) and the U.S. Census Bureau / BEA. Research and educational use only. Not financial advice. No brokerage execution.