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ATLAS / Macro Radar / Retail Sales

US Retail Sales

Growth · source: U.S. Census Bureau

Retail Sales is the monthly change in US retail and food-services spending — a direct read on consumer demand.

Latest
+0.2% m/m
Previous
+1.0% m/m
Surprise vs trend
-0.7σ
below its recent 12-release trend

Trend — last releases

2026-06-01+0.2% m/m
2026-05-01+1.0% m/m
2026-04-01+0.7% m/m
2026-03-01+1.7% m/m
2026-02-01+0.9% m/m
2026-01-01-0.0% m/m

How Atlas reads Retail Sales

Atlas shows the real released figure and a surprise score — how far the latest print sits from its own trailing 12-release trend, in standard deviations. A reading above +0.5σ ran hot versus recent history; below −0.5σ ran cold. There is no invented forecast: where a consensus is not freely available, Atlas shows the trend instead of guessing a number. Every figure here is the real value published by the U.S. Census Bureau and distributed via FRED.

Related market impact rails

Updated 2026-08-12. Figures sourced from the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED) and the U.S. Census Bureau. Research and educational use only. Not financial advice. No brokerage execution.