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ATLAS / Macro Radar / Nonfarm Payrolls

US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP)

Labour · source: Bureau of Labor Statistics

Nonfarm Payrolls is the monthly change in US jobs — the single most-watched labour-market print and a key FOMC input.

Latest
-23K
Previous
+20K
Surprise vs trend
-0.5σ
below its recent 12-release trend

Trend — last releases

2026-07-01-23K
2026-06-01+20K
2026-05-01+63K
2026-04-01+148K
2026-03-01+214K
2026-02-01-156K

How Atlas reads Nonfarm Payrolls

Atlas shows the real released figure and a surprise score — how far the latest print sits from its own trailing 12-release trend, in standard deviations. A reading above +0.5σ ran hot versus recent history; below −0.5σ ran cold. There is no invented forecast: where a consensus is not freely available, Atlas shows the trend instead of guessing a number. Every figure here is the real value published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics and distributed via FRED.

Related market impact rails

Updated 2026-08-12. Figures sourced from the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED) and the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Research and educational use only. Not financial advice. No brokerage execution.