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ATLAS / Macro Radar / Initial Claims

US Initial Jobless Claims

Labour · source: Department of Labor

Initial Claims is the weekly count of new unemployment-benefit filings — the fastest read on labour-market slack.

Latest
199K
Previous
198K
Surprise vs trend
-1.3σ
below its recent 12-release trend

Trend — last releases

2026-08-01199K
2026-07-25198K
2026-07-18189K
2026-07-11209K
2026-07-04217K
2026-06-27217K

How Atlas reads Initial Claims

Atlas shows the real released figure and a surprise score — how far the latest print sits from its own trailing 12-release trend, in standard deviations. A reading above +0.5σ ran hot versus recent history; below −0.5σ ran cold. There is no invented forecast: where a consensus is not freely available, Atlas shows the trend instead of guessing a number. Every figure here is the real value published by the Department of Labor and distributed via FRED.

Related market impact rails

Updated 2026-08-12. Figures sourced from the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED) and the Department of Labor. Research and educational use only. Not financial advice. No brokerage execution.