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US Gross Domestic Product (GDP)

Growth · source: Bureau of Economic Analysis

GDP is the broadest measure of US economic growth — the annualised quarter-on-quarter change in real output.

Latest
+1.6% q/q ann
Previous
+0.5% q/q ann

Trend — last releases

2026-01-01+1.6% q/q ann
2025-10-01+0.5% q/q ann
2025-07-01+4.4% q/q ann
2025-04-01+3.8% q/q ann
2025-01-01-0.6% q/q ann
2024-10-01+1.9% q/q ann

How Atlas reads GDP

Atlas shows the real released figure and a surprise score — how far the latest print sits from its own trailing 12-release trend, in standard deviations. A reading above +0.5σ ran hot versus recent history; below −0.5σ ran cold. There is no invented forecast: where a consensus is not freely available, Atlas shows the trend instead of guessing a number. Every figure here is the real value published by the Bureau of Economic Analysis and distributed via FRED.

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Updated 2026-06-21. Figures sourced from the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED) and the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Research and educational use only. Not financial advice. No brokerage execution.